Sunday, June 30, 2013

StreakItUp Picks July 1st

In the past, many have complained that I get lazy and don't do writeups, and I completely agree with them. However, I have worked out a system that will allow me to do more writeups and make this the #1 StreakItUp blog. I have decided on the following system. Every day, I will have 4 or 5 Streak Picks. Usually on the weekdays it will be 4, while on the weekends it will be 5. These Streak Picks will be the best pick at each time slot. These picks will have writeups. Some of these picks will be Super Streak Picks, and they are picks that I feel VERY confident will win, and I would select at any cost. I will also post all of the picks for the day. I will keep track of my overall record, Streak Picks record and finally my Super Streak Picks Record. This will start on July 1st and continue for a month. If I feel as though I am getting positive reviews and my pageviews are going up, I will continue this into the school year. If not, this blog will be discontinued, so be sure to share it with your friends and help advertise it on the StreakItUp message boards! Also, feel free to click some advertisements above this post and eventually to right of it, because if I make enough money I will commit myself more and more to the blog and put some of the money into this blog. Thanks for coming and enjoy!

Anyway, first day of picks! I will have each writeup done at least 2 hours before the lock time, except for the early morning picks certain days. I will have the ones designated that will have writeups, however. Although some picks do not have writeups, rest assured that they were thoroughly researched. NOTE: Super Streak Picks also count as Streak Picks.

  • Serena Williams by 6+ (Streak Pick)- This isn't quite a super streak pick, but in my opinion it is a pretty safe bet. Serena has only played Lisicki twice, and won both times. The first meeting in 2011, Serena steamrolled by Lisicki, winning the match 6-1, 6-2. A year later, Serena went up 4-1 in the first set, however Lisicki was then forced to retire due to an injury. So far this tournament, Serena has yet to drop more than 3 games in a single set (granted, none of her opponents have been ranked, and Lisicki will be the first seeded player she has to face.) THe most games she has lost was in the second round to Caroline Garcia, who was able to take 5 games from Serena. Lisicki breezed through her first two matches, before she met 14th seeded Samantha Stosur. The two players split the first two sets, but Stosur seemed to just completely lose energy and dropped the last set, 6-1. However, Stosur isn't anywhere near the level of Serena. As I said, this is not a lock in any form, but if you want to take an early pick that will finish before Berdych, this is your best bet, as I expect Serena to drop 3 or maybe even 4 games in the first set, but then just completely wear down Lisicki in the second set and only allow her to pick up 2 games.
  • 23 or More Games
  • 11 or More Games
  • Del Potro Wins by 6+ Games
  • Even Number of Goals
  • Djokovic Wins by 7+ Games
  • Tomas Berdych (Super Streak Pick)- An interesting fact before I start to talk about my predictions for the match. These two players have never met before. So. let's start with their road to the fourth round. Berdych, the seven seed, easily won his first two matches in straight sets, but struggled in the first set against Kevin Anderson in the third round, only to come back and win the next three sets fairly easily. Tomic has played very hard to get to this point. In the first round, he completed a five set upset of American Sam Querrey, and as a reward, got a fairly easy opponent in James Blake to play in the second round, who he beat in straight sets. However, he then was forced to face 9th ranked Gasquet in the third round. Both players battled very hard, and although it only went to 4 sets, it was a pretty long match, lasting just under 3 hours. Sadly for Gasquet, the Australian Tomic was able to stay strong and win the match to complete his second Wimbledon upset. However, one does not simply beat two very tough opponents and have the stamina to complete a third upset. Berdych has the ability to wear opponents down, and I believe he will do this with Tomic. He was able to beat the all-mighty grass court specialist Federer at Wimbledon in 2010, and I believe he should have no trouble with the winded Tomic. Expect a win in straight sets.
  • AIK Leading
  • Fredrikstad Win
  • No Runs
  • Tigers Leading or Tied
  • Sligo Win or Draw (Super Streak Pick)- This matchup pits two teams from the League of Ireland Premier Divison against each other. Although this isn't a league game, we can still get a good sense of the ability of each team from how they have performed so far this season in the League of Ireland. Sligo are sitting pretty in third place in the league, going 11-5-2 (W-D-L) so far this year, which adds up to 38 points. Meanwhile, Limerick has had a losing record so far this season, going 5-7-6, good for only 22 points. However, they are still in the middle of the table, in 6th place out of 12 teams. Sligo played Limerick on the road back in late May, and was held scoreless. However, they were able to hold Limerick scoreless as well, and therefore drew the match. With these statistics, it seems fairly obvious that Sligo should at least be able to keep the match level or in their favor after 90 minutes and injury time. When you look at the odds, you see that Limerick is +320 to win, which are terrible odds. However, Sligo to win is at -118, which is outstanding when all the team has to do is draw. Also, the Sligo Rovers to win or draw is at -400, which are about as sure odds as you can get. I would take Sligo with a lot of confidence here. 
  • Drogheda (Super Streak Pick)- Here we have another Irish League Cup match. Again, Cork City and Drogheda are both from the League of Ireland Premier Divison, so we can compare the two based on their play in that league. Both teams have played basically the same in the League of Ireland, Cork entering with 20 points and Drogheda entering with 19 points. However, despite the 1 point differential, Drogheda has a better goal differential than Cork, as their differential is at -4 compared to Cork's pretty bad differential at -9. Drogheda played Cork earlier this year, but at Cork's stadium. Cork was able to defeat Drogheda 1-0, on a 69th minute goal by Daryl Horgan. However, Drogheda is now home, where they haven't been too great, as they have a 2-3-4 record playing on their home pitch. Cork hasn't done terribly on the road, posting a 2-4-3 record. However, they recently lost 3-0 to a team below Drogheda on the road, and haven't won a road match since May 10 against Bohemians (2nd to last place on the table.) With these dismal road performances, I think Drogheda should be able to advance in this match, as Cork really just seems like a very weak road team. Neither team has really performed well recently, so I think being at home will give Drogheda a huge edge. 
  • Shamrock Rovers
  • 1 or 2 Runs
  • Padres Leading or Tied
  • 5 or More Runs
  • Yes 1+ Runs
  • New York Yankees
  • Tampa Bay Rays (Super Streak Pick)- Today, the 43-39 Tampa Bay Rays will meet the lowly Astros, who have only been able to win 30 games while losing 52. On the mound for the Rays will be Matt Moore. Moore has been very good this season, compiling a 10-3 record and an ERA just under 4. His WHIP isn't amazing, at 1.40, but it isn't terrible either (this high WHIP has been caused by his league leading 4.98 free passes per nine innings.) However, he has won his last 2 starts (despite walking a combined 9 batter in both starts) after losing 3 in a row. Meanwhile, the Astros will put Dallas Keuchel on the mound. The lefty has gone 4-4 with a 4.34 ERA so far this season, and has a higher WHIP than Moore at 1.46. Most of his losses are due to the Astros simply not giving him any run support, as he actually has not allowed more than 3 earned runs since May 26th against the Athletics. Now, let's see how the offenses have been doing. The Astros have lost 3 straight and only won 3 of their last 10 games. During that 10 game stretch, they have only scored over 2 runs 5 times, and haven't scored more than 2 runs in 4 games. Tampa Bay, meanwhile, has gone 6-4 in their last 10, and their offense has been fairly good during that stretch. In their last 10 games, they have averaged 3.7 runs per game, and have only scored less than 3 runs twice during that stretch. Currently, the line for the game is Rays -159. As long as Matt Moore doesn't have another 6 walk performance like he did 2 starts ago, I think the Rays should have a great edge in pitching. Also, their offense has clearly been better than the Astros, so they have the edge in offense. They should win this game by 2 or 3.
  • 8 or Fewer Runs
  • Any Other Number of Strikeouts
  • No Runs

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