Thursday, January 10, 2013

Some people have asked me where I post my morning picks, and the answer to that is you can find them in my most recent tweet by following me @FantasyInsider3 or looking at the box to your left.

  • Dustin Johnson
  • Barcelona 3+
  • Temple Owls
  • North Carolina Tar Heels 
Here we have an ACC showdown between two great teams. North Carolina enters at 10-4 with an 0-1 ACC record, the loss coming to Virginia on the road. However, they have been great at home this year, going 7-0, while scoring 86.4 points per game, but allowing a lot at 68.1. Meanwhile, Miami enters 10-3 with a 4-1 road record and a 1-0 ACC record. They play very good defense on the road, only allowing 56.4 points per game, but they average 20 less points than North Carolina, and only score 66.6 points on the road. In their last 10, UNC is 6-4 with 3 road losses including a loss to #5 ranked Indiana. Their other loss came to Butler at a neutral site. Meanwhile, Miami is 8-2 with their two losses coming at a neutral site to undefeated Arizona and Indiana State.

My Pick: North Carolina Tar Heels (Suggested Pick)
Why: Although Miami plays good defense on the road, they haven't seen an offense like North Carolina's yet. 86.4 points per game is a ton of points, and I don't think Miami's defense will be able to stop North Carolina. Right now, the line is -4 in North Carolina's favor, and I think they will win by at least 5.
  • Iowa Hawkeyes
  • No
  • Penn State
  • Michigan State First Made 3pter
  • Indiana Pacers
  • Arizona Wildcats 
For our second and final suggested pick of the day, we have #4 ranked Arizona going up against the Oregon Ducks in a conference matchup. Arizona enters 14-0, and therefore are obviously undefeated at home and are 2-0 in the Pac 12. Now, this record is disputed, because against Colorado there was a controversial buzzer beater by a Colorado player that many thought should have counted. However, it didn't and the game went to overtime and Colorado was blown out by Arizona, 92-83. Meanwhile, Arizona barely beat Utah in their last game at home, winning by a score of 60-57. On the road, they score 75.5 points per game and allow only 55.5 points per game. Meanwhile, Oregon enters 12-2 (10-0 home record) with a 1-0 Pac 12 record. In their last ten, they are 8-2 with the losses coming at neutral site or on the road. They seem to be a very streaky team, one game scoring in the 80s and in the next game only scoring in the 60s. They score 77.3 points per game at home, and play better defense than Arizona, allowing only 53.8 points.

My Pick: Arizona Wildcats (Suggested Pick)
Why: On paper, this looks like Oregon should get the win. However, Arizona isn't just going to let Oregon march all over them in Oregon's gym. They haven't played great their last 2 games, and they will come out with a ferocious attitude and take the lead early and keep it. Currently, Arizona is favored by 1.5 points, so they should be able to win.
  • Any Other Result
  • Mark Lyons
  • Mavericks
  • Colorado DD Win
  • 69 or Fewer
  • Miami Heat
  • St. Mary's SDLW
  • Oregon State

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